2026–27 forecast · updated Oct 29, 2026, 4:29 PM
NBA
Upcoming games
Oct 31 · 3:00 PM
POR 50%50% UTAH
Oct 31 · 6:00 PM
PHI 44%56% CHA
Oct 31 · 7:00 PM
ATL 45%55% NO
Oct 31 · 8:00 PM
SAC 30%70% MEM
Oct 31 · 8:00 PM
CLE 47%53% MIL
Oct 31 · 8:00 PM
MIN 43%57% SA
Oct 31 · 8:30 PM
OKC 37%63% HOU
Nov 1 · 3:30 PM
BOS 46%54% ORL
Nov 1 · 5:00 PM
BKN 37%63% IND
Nov 1 · 8:30 PM
LAC 38%62% GS
Nov 1 · 9:00 PM
TOR 40%60% LAL
Nov 2 · 7:00 PMOKC 42%58% CLE
POR 50%50% UTAHOct 31 · 6:00 PMPHI 44%56% CHAOct 31 · 7:00 PMATL 45%55% NOOct 31 · 8:00 PMSAC 30%70% MEMOct 31 · 8:00 PMCLE 47%53% MILOct 31 · 8:00 PMMIN 43%57% SAOct 31 · 8:30 PMOKC 37%63% HOUNov 1 · 3:30 PMBOS 46%54% ORLNov 1 · 5:00 PMBKN 37%63% INDNov 1 · 8:30 PMLAC 38%62% GSNov 1 · 9:00 PMTOR 40%60% LALNov 2 · 7:00 PMOKC 42%58% CLEEastern Conference
| TEAM | ELO | 1-WK | TREND | RECORD | PROJ. W | RANGE | PLAYOFFS | CONF. | WIN FINALS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Detroit Pistons | 1530 | +23 | 4-1 | 46.1 | 41–52 | 92% | 19% | 9% | |
 Toronto Raptors | 1525 | +12 | 3-1 | 44.8 | 39–50 | 88% | 17% | 8% | |
 Philadelphia 76ers | 1520 | +10 | 4-1 | 44.8 | 39–50 | 87% | 15% | 7% |
Western Conference
| TEAM | ELO | 1-WK | TREND | RECORD | PROJ. W | RANGE | PLAYOFFS | CONF. | WIN FINALS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Houston Rockets | 1551 | +41 | 5-0 | 49.0 | 44–54 | 96% | 22% | 13% | |
 Memphis Grizzlies | 1536 | +26 | 4-0 | 46.9 | 41–52 | 90% | 15% | 9% | |
 Portland Trail Blazers | 1533 | +21 | 3-0 | 46.1 | 41–52 | 86% | 13% | 8% |
Model check
How it worksSimulations10,000
Games scored0
Pick accuracy—
Brier score—
- Team-level Elo: injuries, starting pitchers, quarterbacks, transfers and lineups are not modeled.
- Playoff seeding uses simulated wins with random tiebreaks; official tiebreakers are approximated.
Model roost-elo-1.0. Methodology
